Research


|Hinnerk Gnutzmann| 10.08.2017
The Trade Effect of GSP Removal: Evidence from Belarus
Under the Generalized Scheme of Preferences (GSP), rich countries grant unilateral trade preferences to developing countries. We study the EU’s withdrawal of GSP preferences from Belarus in 2007 to understand how the GSP a ects export patterns. The withdrawal caused a signi cant drop in trade for a ected products (26%-29% trade decline) and some trade reduction at the extensive margin. However, there is little evidence of a GSP e ect on total trade. This is due to the fact that the main exports of Belarus were not eligible for the GSP program.
Anastasia Luzgina|Ilze Vaivode|Janis Volberts|Dr. Erkki Laukkanen|Dr. Ilmari Larjavaara| 10.07.2017
Corporate Engagement in Fighting Corruption and Tax Evasion in Construction Sector
This is the Final Report for the project Corporate Engagement in Fighting Corruption and Tax Evasion. The project, financed by the Nordic Council of Ministers, includes three partners: Transparency International Latvia (Delna, host organisation), Transparency International Finland and BEROC, a research institute in Minsk, Belarus. The aim is to engage entrepreneurs in fighting corruption and tax evasion, with a focus on municipal construction procurements in Latvia, Belarus and Finland.
01.07.2017
Economic Outlook - Second Quarter 2017
BEROC presents the Economic Outlook - the Second Quarter 2017.
10.06.2017
The influence of financial stress on economic activity and monetary policy in Belarus
The paper determines episodes of financial stress in Belarus during 2004-2016 period using constructed financial stress index, and offers an analytical framework to evaluate the influence of financial turmoil on Belarus's economy, in particular economic activity and monetary policy. The findings show evidence of two episodes of financial stress and two episodes of recessions in Belarus during studied period. The results from the estimated ARDL models show that high level of financial stress causes the substantial downturn in economic activity of Belarus. Moreover, the results of Toda and Yamamoto causality analysis indicate that higher financial stress in Belarus has led to lower economic activity that caused higher inflation, which in turn led to higher policy rate introduced in order to constrain inflation in Belarus. Finally, from theoretical point of view results also signify that there is no evidence for the support of the conventional wisdom hypothesis in Belarus since 2004. Therefore, price stability is not a sufficient condition to support financial stability in Belarus and should certainly be addressed independently of the objective of price stability of the National Bank of Belarus.
Sergey Mazol| 10.06.2017
Does good corporate governance supports economic development: the role of CG in increasing stock market value, fighting corruption and attracting FDI
We examine the empirical relationship between the quality of corporate governance practices and economic development in an unbalanced panel of 185 countries covering 2010 through 2015. We find that corporate governance is positively associated with the FDI inflow and market capitalization, and negatively associated with the public sector employment in low-income countries. Our results also suggest that corporate governance is negatively correlated with corruption in the high-income countries. Finally, we establish the unidirectional causality running from corporate governance to economic development, and find no evidence of causal effect of economic development on corporate governance. Therefore, our results suggest that the policy makers should in the first place address the institutional transition of the countries including the implementation of best corporate governance practices to accelerate economic development in developing economies.