Research


11.11.2015
Exchange Rate, Imports of Intermediate and Capital Goods and GDP Growth in Belarus
The paper analyzes the short-run and long-run effects of imports of intermediate and capital goods on Belarusian economic growth for the period 2005 to 2015 taking into account large upward and downward exchange rate adjustments of Belarusian ruble. The empirical findings from the autoregressive distributed lag regressions indicate that there are negative effects of imports of intermediate goods on economic growth both in the short and long run. Second, contrary to the theory devaluation of the Belarusian ruble negatively influences both GDP growth and imports of intermediate goods in Belarus. Third, the results of Toda–Yamamoto causality test shows that GDP growth Granger causes growth in imports and exports, supporting the hypothesis that trade is more a consequence of the rapid economic growth in Belarus than a cause. Fourth, the findings from forecast error variance decomposition (VDC) confirm results obtained from TY causality test and additionally emphasize that changes in imports in Belarus are mostly driven by changes in exports especially in the long-run. Finally, the findings from VDC also indicate that the main contributor to growth fluctuations are domestic capital investments.
| 20.07.2014
Foreign Investments: Focusing On Debt
In 2013 inflows of foreign investments in Belarus remained almost negligible. The official attitude to privatization remained unchanged, which is why there were almost no privatization deals in Belarus in 2013. This makes foreign loans the main source of inflow of foreign capital to the country.
| 20.07.2011
Foreign Investments: not just Attraction, but Effectiveness
This policy paper contains the analysis of the steps taken to attract foreign investments in Belarus in 2010.
| 11.03.2011
The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Industrial Economic Growth in Belarus
This paper analyses the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic performance using the Belarusian industrial aggregated panel data over the 2002-2009 period.
|Ganna Vakhitova| 11.06.2010
The Impact of FDI on Firm’s Performance Across Sectors: Evidence from Ukraine
This paper empirically investigates the variety of FDI impacts on different sectors using firm level data. In particular, the unique dataset (which represents about 80% of the firms’ population) enables to analyze whether linkages between sectors can explain the difference in the impact of FDI on firm’s productivity as well as spillovers across sectors.
Yury Yatsynovich| 11.07.2009
Quality of Institutions and Private Investments in Infrastructure
This article investigates the impact of institutional environment on the volumes of private investments in infrastructural sectors in low and middle income countries.