Analysis of the migrant flow from Belarus to the EU in 2021–2022

This paper estimates the number of Belarusian citizens who relocated from Belarus to the EU countries in 2021–2022, taking into account the available indicators of migration statistics in the host countries. The detailed analysis covers the number and structure of the Belarusian citizens who left Belarus for Poland and Lithuania, since these states have witnessed the highest migration flow from Belarus. The calculations excluded temporary labor migration and study the key reasons for the people to emigrate. According to the introduced methodology, the estimated number of relocated Belarusian citizens is ca. 143.6–171.9 thousand people.